The Dollar Dominates after Powell’s Remarks

market news summary

Powell stated that the Fed would not consider changing its 2% inflation target and that the labor market does not indicate an approaching deflation.

After the remarks, investors dramatically raised their bets on a 50 basis point rate hike in March, with money market futures pricing in more than a 65% chance of such a move, up from 31% prior to the comments.

The two-year US Treasury bond yield, which is considered the most sensitive indicator of US indices at the present time, jumped more than 5% for the first time in about 16 years.

These rises came in conjunction with the rise of the dollar index to its highest level in more than two months, following the hawkish statements made by the Federal Reserve Chairman about raising interest rates.

Dollar index (USDX)

The dollar rose to multi-month highs against most other major currencies on Wednesday after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that interest rates may need to be raised faster and higher than expected to rein in stubborn inflation.

The dollar index rose 0.2% in Asian trading, to its highest level in more than 3 months at 105.86.

Pivot Point: 105.10

Resistance level	Support level
106.10	104.55
106.60	103.50
107.05	103.00

Euro (EURUSD)

Against the single European currency, the US currency recorded its highest level in two months at $1.0528 per euro, extending Tuesday’s jump of 1.2%.    

Yesterday, Powell told congressional lawmakers that the latest US economic data came out stronger than expected, and therefore the need to increase the speed and size of future interest rate hikes may mean that the US dollar will rise further in exchange for negative pressure on the euro.

Pivot Point: 1.0596

Resistance level	Support Level
1.0630	1.0530
1.0655	1.0500
1.0700	1.0475

Spot Gold (XAUUSD)

Yesterday, Tuesday, March 7, gold prices recorded the lowest settlement price in more than a week, after the statements of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

Upon settlement, gold futures fell by 1.9%, or $34.6 an ounce, to $1,820, the lowest settlement price since February 24.

Powell added: It is almost certain that restoring price stability will require us to maintain a restrained political stance for some time.

Pivot Point: 1,825

Resistance level	Support level
1,838	1,800
1,855	1,786
1865	1,769

Dow Jones Index (DJ30ft – US30)

US indices closed sharply lower on Tuesday after Jerome Powell testified before the US Congress that the Fed will likely need to raise interest rates more than expected to curb soaring inflation.

Powell also stated that the Fed would not consider changing its 2% inflation target and that the labor market does not indicate an approaching deflation.

The Dow Jones index fell by 1.7%, equivalent to about 570 points, recording its highest daily loss in two weeks, to close below 33,000 points.

Pivot Point: 33465

Resistance level	Support level
33575	33340
33690	33230
33930	32990

US Crude OIL (USOUSD)

Oil prices fell at the settlement of the trading session of March 7 for the first time in 6 sessions, due to less-than-expected data in China, and Jerome Powell’s statements.

Upon settlement, Brent crude futures fell by 3.4% to $83.29 a barrel, and US crude futures fell by 3.6%, recording $77.58 a barrel.

Pivot Point: 78.35

Resistance level	Support level
79.25	77.25
80.00	76.55
81.20	75.85